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Singapore's public housing resale market experienced a significant rise in 2024, with prices increasing by 9.6% compared to the 4.9% recorded in 2023, as reported by preliminary government data. This surge highlights a growing demand for resale flats, coupled with a tightening supply of eligible units. The issue of housing affordability remains a critical concern, especially with 80% of Singaporeans residing in government-built homes. As the nation prepares for the general election in 2025, rising living costs and housing affordability are emerging as pivotal topics.
The increase in resale transactions also reflected the market's robustness, with an 8% rise in the number of flats sold compared to 2023. Despite the steady demand, the government implemented cooling measures in August 2024 to address the rising prices. These measures included lowering the maximum loan amount for resale flat purchases from 80% to 75% of the flat's valuation.The Housing Development Board (HDB) urged buyers to act cautiously, highlighting that those who purchase properties at high prices would face greater challenges if prices were to decline.
A significant factor behind the price escalation is the dwindling availability of newly eligible flats for resale. Christine Sun, a senior researcher at OrangeTee, observed that the number of such flats dropped dramatically to 11,952 in 2024, down from 30,920 in 2022. Singaporean homeowners are required to occupy new flats for at least five years before selling, limiting the number of units entering the resale market annually. This restricted supply has heightened competition among buyers, pushing prices upward.
Government grants for first-time buyers of resale flats, introduced in August 2024, further contributed to the surge in demand. These financial incentives made resale properties more attractive, intensifying the upward pressure on prices. Sun explained that the combination of limited supply and increased affordability measures created a perfect storm for price escalation.
Singapore's property market has consistently demonstrated resilience, even defying global trends during the pandemic. Resale public housing prices rose by 10.4% in 2022 and 12.7% in 2021, showing a strong and steady upward trajectory. This resilience has positioned the city-state as one of the world's most expensive housing markets, where demand remains robust despite economic uncertainties.
The high-end segment of the market continues to attract attention, with several public housing units selling for over SGD 1 million (USD 735,000). These premium transactions reflect the willingness of buyers to invest in well-located, desirable flats, even at elevated price points. The HDB has consistently advised buyers to exercise prudence, emphasising that those who purchase at peak prices are more vulnerable to future market corrections.
Analysts predict that additional cooling measures may be introduced if the current trends persist. Sun remarked, "It could be possible if resale volume rebounds in the first and second quarters, or more flats are selling for over SGD 1 million." The government has consistently taken proactive steps to ensure housing affordability, balancing market growth with broader socio-economic objectives.
With housing affordability dominating public discourse, the government's actions in the real estate market are likely to remain under scrutiny ahead of the 2025 general election. As Singapore grapples with rising living costs and housing demand, the focus will continue to be on ensuring equitable access to housing for its citizens.
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